Keeping Score in Social Media

In earlier years, one of the central issues of the Information Age was how one could properly harness the rapid production of content and curate it it in such a way that it could be commercialized. Then came social media; platforms like Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram have indeed come to define the modern citizen.

January 22, 2023

The competition among social media platforms has become a zero sum game, with an average of one and a half hours spent on social media per day. Even with user growth slowing, Facebook remains a dominant player. TikTok, which has grown rapidly is also starting to see user growth flatten out.

Facebook, as shown in figure 1, still has the largest share of eyeballs with over 70% of US households engaged with the platform. Furthermore Facebook users tend to spend a lot of time on the platform, with almost 60% spending at least an hour per day (see figure 2). We monitor social media usage with a wide range of questions asked to over 500 census-balanced respondents each day, and with three years of history.

TikTok has been growing in popularity, but, as shown in figure 3, over the last six months this growth has flattened out. At the current level of engagement the user base for TikTok is just over a third the size of Facebook, and this comes down to demographics.

As shown in figure 4, over 57% of Americans between 18 and 29 are users of TikTok, but under 7% of over 65 year olds use the app. In contrast, over 50% of both age groups are users of Facebook (74% of over 65 year old females, 59% of over 65 year old males, 64% of 18 to 29 year old females, and 51% of 18 to 29 year old males). In order to grow further, TikTok will need to appeal to a broader audience.

On the other hand, as shown in figure 5, users of TikTok spend more time on the platform than Facebook users, and advertisers care more about time spent and are particularly interested in the demographic profile of the age group that are TikTok users.

The demographics of Twitter users has been in the news since it was taken private by Elon Musk. Our data show that the percentage of respondents that are users of Twitter has not dropped in the last six months. The data also show, see figure 6, that the polarization of users between those indicating that they are registered Democrat and those who are registered Republican has decreased since it was taken private.

The other competition underway in social media is where to read the news. When given the chance to select multiple sources of news, a larger percentage of respondents identify Facebook as their source of news than any other individual source (see figure 7). Twitter is also growing in popularity as a source of news.

Signup for our newsletter

Social Media Platforms

1. It's Free And Better Stay That Way

Facebook maintains a towering lead over other platforms, with YouTube and TikTok interestingly ending up in the top five

Facebook

2. Mark Twain Would Like A Word

Though the press has declared the death of Facebook, almost 60% of users spend at least an hour per day on Facebook

TikTok

3. Dance Your Way To The Top

Thanks to the pandemic, TikTok has enjoyed a rapid ascent to become a formidable rival for other social media giants

Demographics

4. The Young vs the Many

While TikTok has come on to the social media scene quickly, it still skews overwhelmingly young and female

TikTok

5. FYP: The New Party Drug

1 out of 4 TikTok user spends over 3 hours per day on the platform

Twitter

6. Never Bend for the Algorithm

Polarization, defined by the spread of usage between Democrats and Republicans, is coming down

News Consumption

7. In These Times

Traditional television news outlets have tried to keep up with the Information Age, yet Facebook and Twitter remain their biggest rivals

Signup for our newsletter

DISCLAIMER : This material is provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. This material is general in nature and is not directed to any category of investors and should not be regarded as individualized, a recommendation, investment advice or a suggestion to engage in or refrain from any investment-related course of action. Investment decisions and the appropriateness of this material should be made based on an investor's individual objectives and circumstances and in consultation with his or her advisors. Information is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but there is no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or reliability. All information is current as of the date of this material and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of AlphaROC as a whole. Third-party economic or market estimates discussed herein may or may not be realized and no opinion or representation is being given regarding such estimates.  This material includes estimates, outlooks, projections, and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to a variety of factors, actual events or market behavior may differ significantly from any views expressed. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal.

AlphaROC occam case studies are for illustrative purposes only.  This material is not intended as a formal research report and should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision. The firm, its employees, data vendors, and advisors may hold positions, including contrary positions, in companies discussed in these reports. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors, or markets identified and described in these case studies will be profitable. Investors should consult with their advisors to determine the suitability of each investment based on their unique individual situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.